Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.936302 8.939182 9.981766 11.143387 12.398312 13.710082 15.181811
2024-10-27 6.022153 7.388287 8.891747 10.656159 12.657004 14.842836 17.398370
2024-11-03 5.200168 6.788614 8.609032 10.822874 13.415383 16.329056 19.824418
2024-11-10 4.596158 6.335866 8.400524 10.987484 14.097609 17.673214 22.050218
2024-11-17 3.974887 5.780124 7.996086 10.851817 14.369247 18.496934 23.641441
2024-11-24 3.539306 5.404980 7.765987 10.885078 14.808234 19.493088 25.420751
2024-12-01 3.141583 5.035301 7.503972 10.843332 15.126743 20.324800 26.992803
2024-12-08 2.812252 4.723476 7.286556 10.831165 15.460630 21.161289 28.564730
2024-12-15 2.738544 4.759432 7.525479 11.411206 16.550596 22.943380 31.316088
2024-12-22 2.478794 4.501797 7.343713 11.415245 16.885116 23.773673 32.888783
2024-12-29 2.413586 4.525310 7.547646 11.938088 17.900917 25.474694 35.567226
2025-01-05 2.295283 4.456126 7.611792 12.264322 18.656246 26.848137 37.844695
2025-01-12 2.018218 4.118994 7.275847 12.027147 18.658931 27.262636 38.927085
2025-01-19 1.700424 3.684212 6.767222 11.519076 18.271901 27.153449 39.327998
2025-01-26 1.583955 3.574823 6.739608 11.694701 18.819226 28.272708 41.322848
2025-02-02 1.477696 3.472626 6.714859 11.868691 19.362187 29.388689 43.321918
2025-02-09 1.313520 3.249738 6.485191 11.725335 19.448872 29.888187 44.511137
2025-02-16 1.201063 3.110468 6.379686 11.760483 19.783847 30.721310 46.144703
2025-02-23 1.084230 2.950041 6.228492 11.716369 19.998388 31.387913 47.558789
2025-03-02 0.983723 2.810587 6.102730 11.703510 20.252879 32.107510 49.046565
2025-03-09 0.994315 2.900201 6.371284 12.316236 21.433609 34.118565 52.291248
2025-03-16 0.907151 2.775136 6.260323 12.320501 21.712732 34.878747 53.849809
2025-03-23 0.908942 2.842070 6.488531 12.872389 22.812697 36.793551 56.990162